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Red299
6193168.8
3357230.5
3542169.1
Blue364
2832153.4
302209.0
494213.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378384200250300350450500550299364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230.50.8
234.1233.3
Auto22.4
Teleop175.7
End30.9
red by 16.7
494
#8
213.90.5
215.8216.3
Auto21.7
Teleop162.7
End28.9
Second
3542
#16
169.10.3
170.8171.1
Auto21.8
Teleop126.6
End21.3
blue by 39.8
302
#6
209.00.9
212.3211.4
Auto21.4
Teleop161.8
End24.9
Third
6193
#24
168.80.8
168.9169.6
Auto20.1
Teleop124.3
End24.0
red by 15.4
2832
#17
153.40.3
152.5152.2
Auto20.2
Teleop109.7
End24.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
30%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed