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Red157
7234132.2
4970164.9
2832153.4
Blue520
3452194.7
3357230.5
5314160.8
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267468100200400600700800157520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4970
#27
164.90.3
177.2177.5
Auto24.8
Teleop116.7
End22.6
blue by 65.6
230.50.6
235.0235.6
Auto22.4
Teleop175.7
End30.9
Second
2832
#17
153.40.7
155.7154.9
Auto20.2
Teleop109.7
End24.3
blue by 41.3
194.71.0
186.5187.5
Auto20.8
Teleop142.5
End29.1
Third
7234
#28
132.21.0
128.8129.8
Auto18.5
Teleop92.1
End23.1
blue by 28.5
5314
#21
160.80.8
151.6152.4
Auto19.9
Teleop127.7
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsMissed93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned12%Face the Boss oddsMissed