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Red467
7250126.8
494213.9
5523135.9
Blue243
74170.0
2054184.9
5090135.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3173600100200400500600700467243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#8
213.91.3
208.9210.2
Auto21.7
Teleop162.7
End28.9
red by 29.0
2054
#10
184.91.5
174.7176.2
Auto23.0
Teleop130.8
End31.7
Second
5523
#23
135.90.7
130.2130.9
Auto19.9
Teleop98.9
End20.1
blue by 34.1
74
#35
170.00.8
176.9177.7
Auto19.7
Teleop134.3
End14.8
Third
7250
#13
126.80.7
119.6120.2
Auto21.7
Teleop90.9
End15.2
blue by 8.7
5090
#31
135.50.8
139.8139.1
Auto17.6
Teleop98.0
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed