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Qual 642018 Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red447
6112146.2
3357230.5
4776169.2
Blue264
5534132.6
4405170.8
5090135.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435259100200300400500600700447264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#5
230.50.4
231.8→231.4
Auto22.4
Teleop175.7
End30.9
red by 59.8
4405
#22
170.81.1
166.8→167.9
Auto21.2
Teleop125.4
End24.5
Second
4776
#7
169.21.1
165.7→166.8
Auto20.9
Teleop126.7
End25.1
red by 33.6
5090
#31
135.51.4
138.8→137.4
Auto17.6
Teleop98.0
End18.3
Third
6112
#37
146.20.4
147.1→146.7
Auto21.7
Teleop111.3
End15.4
red by 13.6
5534
#34
132.60.0
132.5→132.5
Auto21.3
Teleop94.5
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed