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Qual 652018 Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red434
7225179.0
302209.0
1718180.3
Blue305
5505201.1
4391194.7
5531153.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406358200300500600700434305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#6
209.00.5
210.5→210.0
Auto21.4
Teleop161.8
End24.9
red by 7.9
5505
#11
201.10.8
199.4→200.1
Auto20.8
Teleop152.7
End27.3
Second
1718
#1
180.31.1
173.6→174.7
Auto20.6
Teleop130.7
End33.8
blue by 14.4
4391
#12
194.70.1
195.3→195.5
Auto28.3
Teleop145.1
End21.2
Third
7225
#15
179.01.0
176.2→177.3
Auto26.5
Teleop132.7
End20.3
red by 25.2
5531
#30
153.81.9
161.2→159.3
Auto17.4
Teleop119.7
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
37%Face the Boss oddsEarned25%Face the Boss oddsMissed