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Qual 662018 Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red261
494213.9
5509166.8
3667147.3
Blue289
5712166.4
5523135.9
5050191.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386320100200500600700261289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#8
213.90.4
216.5→216.1
Auto21.7
Teleop162.7
End28.9
red by 22.5
5050
#4
191.31.9
186.0→188.0
Auto23.7
Teleop140.9
End29.0
Second
5509
#33
166.80.5
167.0→167.4
Auto18.7
Teleop122.3
End26.4
red by 0.5
5712
#14
166.40.3
165.7→166.0
Auto21.8
Teleop119.8
End25.9
Third
3667
#38
147.30.6
152.8→152.2
Auto17.4
Teleop118.2
End11.3
red by 11.3
5523
#23
135.90.7
134.3→135.1
Auto19.9
Teleop98.9
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed33%Face the Boss oddsMissed