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Red264
3542169.1
4327131.1
3603159.6
Blue337
7250126.8
3452194.7
857138.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340337250300400450264337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3542
#16
169.10.4
170.4170.1
Auto21.8
Teleop126.6
End21.3
blue by 25.5
194.70.1
192.4192.3
Auto20.8
Teleop142.5
End29.1
Second
3603
#29
159.61.2
157.9159.1
Auto17.9
Teleop116.1
End25.5
red by 21.5
857
#25
138.10.3
138.1137.8
Auto17.2
Teleop97.0
End23.3
Third
4327
#40
131.10.4
132.8132.4
Auto14.5
Teleop101.9
End14.6
red by 4.3
7250
#13
126.80.7
123.7124.4
Auto21.7
Teleop90.9
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed53%Face the Boss oddsMissed