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Qual 682018 Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red265
1718180.3
5534132.6
5915129.8
Blue419
5535156.7
5505201.1
5436173.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2804360100200400500600700265419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#1
180.31.3
174.7→176.0
Auto20.6
Teleop130.7
End33.8
blue by 20.7
5505
#11
201.10.4
200.1→200.5
Auto20.8
Teleop152.7
End27.3
Second
5534
#34
132.60.1
132.5→132.6
Auto21.3
Teleop94.5
End19.6
blue by 41.0
5436
#19
173.51.1
171.0→172.0
Auto21.0
Teleop125.6
End26.7
Third
5915
#36
129.80.7
128.7→129.4
Auto15.4
Teleop101.9
End17.5
blue by 26.9
5535
#26
156.70.1
156.8→156.7
Auto16.1
Teleop120.3
End22.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss oddsEarned36%Face the Boss oddsMissed