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Red297
3538204.6
2771196.0
5205136.3
Blue338
3098188.7
4003204.8
2586145.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355352250300400450297338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#11
204.60.1
204.7204.6
Auto23.8
Teleop156.8
End26.0
blue by 0.2
204.80.1
204.9204.8
Auto22.8
Teleop159.6
End22.1
Second
196.00.1
195.9196.0
Auto24.1
Teleop140.7
End32.0
red by 7.3
188.70.3
189.0188.7
Auto20.6
Teleop139.9
End27.0
Third
5205
#35
136.30.1
136.2136.3
Auto20.6
Teleop106.0
End11.5
blue by 9.4
2586
#32
145.70.3
145.9145.7
Auto16.2
Teleop111.5
End18.1