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Red219
5150163.4
6861144.8
5424149.1
Blue427
7213133.9
2834195.6
2586145.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361334200300400500600219427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5150
#18
163.41.0
169.0170.0
Auto19.4
Teleop116.6
End28.5
blue by 32.2
195.60.6
189.9190.5
Auto21.2
Teleop145.5
End25.5
Second
5424
#23
149.10.0
154.3154.3
Auto19.2
Teleop110.6
End21.8
red by 3.4
2586
#32
145.70.5
146.6147.1
Auto16.2
Teleop111.5
End18.1
Third
6861
#31
144.80.8
155.9155.1
Auto21.7
Teleop106.2
End18.1
red by 10.8
7213
#25
133.90.5
133.4132.9
Auto17.3
Teleop99.0
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed