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Red257
6573140.9
4680134.7
4994131.7
Blue523
5152173.9
85207.4
123142.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2394210100200300500600700800257523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6573
#28
140.90.1
139.0139.0
Auto18.5
Teleop105.8
End18.9
blue by 66.4
85
#2
207.41.8
197.2199.0
Auto24.5
Teleop155.1
End27.9
Second
4680
#37
134.70.4
136.4136.8
Auto15.1
Teleop99.1
End19.1
blue by 39.2
5152
#14
173.90.2
169.5169.7
Auto20.2
Teleop131.6
End21.4
Third
4994
#36
131.71.3
141.4140.1
Auto19.2
Teleop101.0
End6.4
blue by 10.3
123
#40
142.01.2
140.9142.1
Auto19.6
Teleop108.3
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed