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Red335
66185.8
6753167.4
2075170.1
Blue274
2586145.7
5205136.3
245189.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384324200300500600335274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#22
185.80.2
182.5182.3
Auto22.7
Teleop145.1
End16.0
blue by 3.5
245
#19
189.30.1
198.0198.1
Auto19.5
Teleop138.6
End29.4
Second
2075
#12
170.11.2
164.9166.1
Auto21.5
Teleop138.1
End11.3
red by 24.4
2586
#32
145.71.3
147.1148.4
Auto16.2
Teleop111.5
End18.1
Third
6753
#16
167.41.5
157.7159.2
Auto23.8
Teleop122.6
End21.6
red by 31.1
5205
#35
136.31.1
136.7135.6
Auto20.6
Teleop106.0
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed