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Red398
5152173.9
6861144.8
2771196.0
Blue282
5843168.3
1711160.3
51155.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352358250300400450500550398282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.00.8
190.6189.8
Auto24.1
Teleop140.7
End32.0
red by 27.7
5843
#39
168.30.3
182.4182.1
Auto24.0
Teleop128.1
End14.1
Second
5152
#14
173.90.5
169.7170.2
Auto20.2
Teleop131.6
End21.4
red by 13.6
1711
#38
160.30.6
153.9154.5
Auto16.5
Teleop128.1
End16.5
Third
6861
#31
144.81.8
155.1153.3
Auto21.7
Teleop106.2
End18.1
blue by 10.8
51
#17
155.61.2
149.3150.5
Auto18.8
Teleop109.4
End28.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed