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Qual 182018 Michigan State Championship - Ford Division
Red456
4003204.8
6548178.9
3534168.5
Blue232
503182.2
5424149.1
5193167.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions390319100200500600456232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#3
204.80.5
195.5→196.0
Auto22.8
Teleop159.6
End22.1
red by 22.6
503
#5
182.20.1
174.6→174.7
Auto22.3
Teleop126.0
End32.2
Second
6548
#13
178.90.7
171.8→172.5
Auto20.7
Teleop126.2
End30.2
red by 11.8
5193
#15
167.11.4
163.1→164.5
Auto15.8
Teleop120.1
End32.8
Third
3534
#21
168.50.9
155.9→156.8
Auto19.4
Teleop130.1
End19.2
red by 19.4
5424
#23
149.11.2
154.3→153.2
Auto19.2
Teleop110.6
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed35%Face the Boss oddsEarned