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Red244
5674170.7
6573140.9
6100151.5
Blue361
3604177.9
2834195.6
5150163.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296437100200400500600700800244361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5674
#24
170.70.7
183.7183.0
Auto20.1
Teleop124.0
End27.2
blue by 24.9
195.61.4
190.5191.9
Auto21.2
Teleop145.5
End25.5
Second
6100
#26
151.50.5
158.0157.5
Auto14.3
Teleop117.5
End18.3
blue by 26.4
3604
#27
177.91.2
183.0184.2
Auto20.0
Teleop129.2
End26.2
Third
6573
#28
140.90.2
139.0139.2
Auto18.5
Teleop105.8
End18.9
blue by 22.5
5150
#18
163.40.4
170.0169.6
Auto19.4
Teleop116.6
End28.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned