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Red330
7213133.9
5927120.8
3098188.7
Blue297
3770167.5
5462165.8
4004162.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306385100200500600700330297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.71.1
180.7181.9
Auto20.6
Teleop139.9
End27.0
red by 21.2
3770
#29
167.50.3
173.9173.6
Auto18.8
Teleop124.5
End20.2
Second
7213
#25
133.90.6
133.4134.0
Auto17.3
Teleop99.0
End18.9
blue by 31.8
5462
#33
165.80.7
158.1158.7
Auto17.6
Teleop117.8
End30.8
Third
5927
#20
120.80.1
111.4111.5
Auto15.9
Teleop87.0
End19.6
blue by 41.3
4004
#30
162.00.5
164.2163.7
Auto18.6
Teleop125.5
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed