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Red252
7248111.8
5193167.1
85207.4
Blue496
4003204.8
4967166.9
2075170.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3154010100200500600700252496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#2
207.41.8
199.0200.8
Auto24.5
Teleop155.1
End27.9
red by 2.6
204.81.0
196.0197.0
Auto22.8
Teleop159.6
End22.1
Second
5193
#15
167.10.4
164.5164.9
Auto15.8
Teleop120.1
End32.8
blue by 3.0
2075
#12
170.10.8
166.1166.9
Auto21.5
Teleop138.1
End11.3
Third
7248
#34
111.80.8
105.2106.0
Auto16.5
Teleop82.6
End15.2
blue by 55.1
166.91.1
153.5154.6
Auto27.0
Teleop112.4
End28.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsMissed91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss oddsEarned11%Face the Boss oddsEarned