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Red450
3534168.5
5424149.1
5674170.7
Blue284
6753167.4
5152173.9
5150163.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341367150200250300400450500550450284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5674
#24
170.71.7
183.0181.3
Auto20.1
Teleop124.0
End27.2
blue by 3.1
5152
#14
173.91.1
170.2171.3
Auto20.2
Teleop131.6
End21.4
Second
3534
#21
168.51.3
156.8158.1
Auto19.4
Teleop130.1
End19.2
red by 1.1
6753
#16
167.41.0
159.2160.2
Auto23.8
Teleop122.6
End21.6
Third
5424
#23
149.11.7
153.2151.5
Auto19.2
Teleop110.6
End21.8
blue by 14.3
5150
#18
163.40.8
169.6168.8
Auto19.4
Teleop116.6
End28.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsEarned11%Face the Boss oddsMissed