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Red369
5927120.8
5462165.8
141185.3
Blue359
66185.8
4680134.7
1711160.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32135102006008001,0001,2001,400369359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#8
185.30.4
176.0176.5
Auto24.7
Teleop138.0
End24.4
blue by 0.5
66
#22
185.80.4
182.3181.9
Auto22.7
Teleop145.1
End16.0
Second
5462
#33
165.80.3
158.7159.0
Auto17.6
Teleop117.8
End30.8
red by 5.5
1711
#38
160.30.1
154.5154.7
Auto16.5
Teleop128.1
End16.5
Third
5927
#20
120.80.5
111.5112.0
Auto15.9
Teleop87.0
End19.6
blue by 13.9
4680
#37
134.70.6
136.8137.4
Auto15.1
Teleop99.1
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed