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Red366
2834195.6
5424149.1
3538204.6
Blue348
6548178.9
245189.3
4994131.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392317100200500600700366348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#11
204.60.3
205.8206.1
Auto23.8
Teleop156.8
End26.0
red by 15.4
245
#19
189.30.3
198.1197.7
Auto19.5
Teleop138.6
End29.4
Second
195.60.7
191.9192.6
Auto21.2
Teleop145.5
End25.5
red by 16.7
6548
#13
178.91.2
172.5173.7
Auto20.7
Teleop126.2
End30.2
Third
5424
#23
149.10.3
151.5151.2
Auto19.2
Teleop110.6
End21.8
red by 17.4
4994
#36
131.70.8
139.3138.5
Auto19.2
Teleop101.0
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsEarned13%Face the Boss oddsEarned