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Red274
5205136.3
141185.3
6861144.8
Blue477
6753167.4
6100151.5
503182.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3213680100200400500600700274477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#8
185.30.8
176.5177.2
Auto24.7
Teleop138.0
End24.4
red by 3.2
503
#5
182.20.6
174.1173.5
Auto22.3
Teleop126.0
End32.2
Second
6861
#31
144.80.9
152.6151.7
Auto21.7
Teleop106.2
End18.1
blue by 22.6
6753
#16
167.40.2
160.2160.4
Auto23.8
Teleop122.6
End21.6
Third
5205
#35
136.30.4
134.3133.9
Auto20.6
Teleop106.0
End11.5
blue by 15.2
6100
#26
151.51.1
156.0154.9
Auto14.3
Teleop117.5
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed29%Face the Boss oddsMissed