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Red400
2586145.7
2771196.0
1711160.3
Blue317
245189.3
3538204.6
5927120.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3123990200600800400317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.00.3
190.0190.2
Auto24.1
Teleop140.7
End32.0
blue by 8.6
3538
#11
204.60.4
206.1206.5
Auto23.8
Teleop156.8
End26.0
Second
1711
#38
160.30.4
154.7155.0
Auto16.5
Teleop128.1
End16.5
blue by 29.0
245
#19
189.30.2
197.7197.5
Auto19.5
Teleop138.6
End29.4
Third
2586
#32
145.70.9
149.1150.0
Auto16.2
Teleop111.5
End18.1
red by 24.9
5927
#20
120.80.8
112.0112.8
Auto15.9
Teleop87.0
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsMissed36%Face the Boss oddsEarned