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Red349
5150163.4
4003204.8
4004162.0
Blue306
51155.6
123142.0
5462165.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4292790100200500600700349306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.81.6
197.0198.6
Auto22.8
Teleop159.6
End22.1
red by 39.0
5462
#33
165.80.6
159.0159.6
Auto17.6
Teleop117.8
End30.8
Second
5150
#18
163.41.2
168.8167.7
Auto19.4
Teleop116.6
End28.5
red by 7.8
51
#17
155.60.3
151.1151.4
Auto18.8
Teleop109.4
End28.9
Third
4004
#30
162.00.6
163.7163.1
Auto18.6
Teleop125.5
End14.9
red by 20.1
123
#40
142.00.7
143.3144.0
Auto19.6
Teleop108.3
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned