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Qual 342018 Michigan State Championship - Ford Division
Red350
2075170.1
7213133.9
3538204.6
Blue230
3539179.2
51155.6
6100151.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions388315100200500600350230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#11
204.60.3
206.5→206.8
Auto23.8
Teleop156.8
End26.0
red by 25.4
3539
#9
179.21.1
178.2→179.4
Auto24.0
Teleop130.0
End25.2
Second
2075
#12
170.11.4
166.9→168.3
Auto21.5
Teleop138.1
End11.3
red by 14.5
51
#17
155.60.8
151.4→152.1
Auto18.8
Teleop109.4
End28.9
Third
7213
#25
133.91.5
134.9→136.4
Auto17.3
Teleop99.0
End18.9
blue by 17.6
6100
#26
151.50.2
154.9→154.7
Auto14.3
Teleop117.5
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsEarned