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Red377
5205136.3
5462165.8
1711160.3
Blue217
123142.0
4994131.7
5674170.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3003540100200400500600700800377217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5462
#33
165.81.0
159.6160.6
Auto17.6
Teleop117.8
End30.8
blue by 5.0
5674
#24
170.71.1
181.0180.0
Auto20.1
Teleop124.0
End27.2
Second
1711
#38
160.31.0
155.0156.0
Auto16.5
Teleop128.1
End16.5
red by 18.3
123
#40
142.01.1
144.0145.1
Auto19.6
Teleop108.3
End17.3
Third
5205
#35
136.30.7
133.9133.2
Auto20.6
Teleop106.0
End11.5
red by 4.6
4994
#36
131.70.6
138.5138.0
Auto19.2
Teleop101.0
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsMissed