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Red329
141185.3
3770167.5
6753167.4
Blue354
2771196.0
4004162.0
6573140.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372353250300400450500550329354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#8
185.30.2
177.2177.5
Auto24.7
Teleop138.0
End24.4
blue by 10.6
196.00.9
190.2191.1
Auto24.1
Teleop140.7
End32.0
Second
3770
#29
167.50.9
173.1172.2
Auto18.8
Teleop124.5
End20.2
red by 5.5
4004
#30
162.00.8
163.1162.3
Auto18.6
Teleop125.5
End14.9
Third
6753
#16
167.40.8
160.4161.3
Auto23.8
Teleop122.6
End21.6
red by 26.4
6573
#28
140.90.4
138.1138.5
Auto18.5
Teleop105.8
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsMissed