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Red463
6548178.9
4967166.9
5150163.4
Blue251
3539179.2
6861144.8
245189.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36241202006008001,000463251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#13
178.91.6
174.7176.2
Auto20.7
Teleop126.2
End30.2
blue by 10.4
245
#19
189.30.2
197.5197.3
Auto19.5
Teleop138.6
End29.4
Second
166.92.1
156.2158.2
Auto27.0
Teleop112.4
End28.3
blue by 12.3
179.20.4
179.4179.8
Auto24.0
Teleop130.0
End25.2
Third
5150
#18
163.41.2
167.7166.4
Auto19.4
Teleop116.6
End28.5
red by 18.6
6861
#31
144.81.1
151.7150.7
Auto21.7
Teleop106.2
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsEarned30%Face the Boss oddsMissed