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Red303
4994131.7
141185.3
3098188.7
Blue373
4003204.8
245189.3
2771196.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2814440100200400500600700303373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.71.1
186.5187.6
Auto20.6
Teleop139.9
End27.0
blue by 16.1
204.80.5
200.3200.7
Auto22.8
Teleop159.6
End22.1
Second
141
#8
185.30.3
177.7178.0
Auto24.7
Teleop138.0
End24.4
blue by 10.6
196.01.0
192.0193.0
Auto24.1
Teleop140.7
End32.0
Third
4994
#36
131.70.8
136.8136.0
Auto19.2
Teleop101.0
End6.4
blue by 57.6
245
#19
189.31.2
196.0194.8
Auto19.5
Teleop138.6
End29.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsMissed52%Face the Boss oddsEarned