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Red361
85207.4
6573140.9
1322153.2
Blue353
5462165.8
6753167.4
6861144.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404317100200500600361353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#2
207.41.3
202.5203.8
Auto24.5
Teleop155.1
End27.9
red by 40.0
6753
#16
167.40.1
162.0161.9
Auto23.8
Teleop122.6
End21.6
Second
1322
#10
153.21.5
148.5150.0
Auto18.0
Teleop110.9
End26.2
blue by 12.5
5462
#33
165.81.2
162.2163.4
Auto17.6
Teleop117.8
End30.8
Third
6573
#28
140.90.6
139.0139.6
Auto18.5
Teleop105.8
End18.9
blue by 3.9
6861
#31
144.81.4
148.7147.3
Auto21.7
Teleop106.2
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned