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Red421
2834195.6
2771196.0
1322153.2
Blue245
3534168.5
5205136.3
66185.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406309100200500600421245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.00.3
191.1190.9
Auto24.1
Teleop140.7
End32.0
red by 10.2
66
#22
185.80.2
182.5182.7
Auto22.7
Teleop145.1
End16.0
Second
195.60.8
189.0189.9
Auto21.2
Teleop145.5
End25.5
red by 27.1
3534
#21
168.51.6
153.5155.1
Auto19.4
Teleop130.1
End19.2
Third
1322
#10
153.21.2
140.9142.1
Auto18.0
Teleop110.9
End26.2
red by 17.0
5205
#35
136.30.4
137.9137.5
Auto20.6
Teleop106.0
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
38%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed