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Red387
4994131.7
85207.4
4003204.8
Blue267
6100151.5
3098188.7
5150163.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions389313200500600387267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#2
207.41.8
194.0195.8
Auto24.5
Teleop155.1
End27.9
red by 18.7
188.70.9
179.2180.1
Auto20.6
Teleop139.9
End27.0
Second
204.80.9
194.6195.5
Auto22.8
Teleop159.6
End22.1
red by 41.4
5150
#18
163.41.3
167.7169.0
Auto19.4
Teleop116.6
End28.5
Third
4994
#36
131.71.1
143.5142.4
Auto19.2
Teleop101.0
End6.4
blue by 19.8
6100
#26
151.50.0
158.1158.0
Auto14.3
Teleop117.5
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsEarned