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Red307
245189.3
7248111.8
123142.0
Blue421
6548178.9
6753167.4
4680134.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340335250300400450307421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#19
189.30.1
198.1198.0
Auto19.5
Teleop138.6
End29.4
red by 10.4
6548
#13
178.90.0
171.8171.8
Auto20.7
Teleop126.2
End30.2
Second
123
#40
142.01.2
139.7140.9
Auto19.6
Teleop108.3
End17.3
blue by 25.4
6753
#16
167.41.0
156.8157.7
Auto23.8
Teleop122.6
End21.6
Third
7248
#34
111.80.6
103.9104.5
Auto16.5
Teleop82.6
End15.2
blue by 22.9
4680
#37
134.70.4
136.8136.4
Auto15.1
Teleop99.1
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned