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Red364
51155.6
2586145.7
85207.4
Blue310
1711160.3
3534168.5
503182.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339374200300400500600700364310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#2
207.40.6
205.3205.9
Auto24.5
Teleop155.1
End27.9
red by 25.2
503
#5
182.21.7
178.9180.5
Auto22.3
Teleop126.0
End32.2
Second
51
#17
155.60.2
152.7152.5
Auto18.8
Teleop109.4
End28.9
blue by 12.9
3534
#21
168.50.9
165.4166.2
Auto19.4
Teleop130.1
End19.2
Third
2586
#32
145.71.1
149.8148.6
Auto16.2
Teleop111.5
End18.1
blue by 14.6
1711
#38
160.30.3
159.0159.3
Auto16.5
Teleop128.1
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsEarned23%Face the Boss oddsEarned