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Red318
3539179.2
6573140.9
3538204.6
Blue404
5462165.8
4003204.8
3098188.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315427100200500600700800318404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#11
204.60.6
206.5205.9
Auto23.8
Teleop156.8
End26.0
blue by 0.2
204.81.4
202.2203.6
Auto22.8
Teleop159.6
End22.1
Second
179.20.1
179.0178.9
Auto24.0
Teleop130.0
End25.2
blue by 9.5
188.70.8
189.5190.3
Auto20.6
Teleop139.9
End27.0
Third
6573
#28
140.90.4
140.4140.8
Auto18.5
Teleop105.8
End18.9
blue by 24.8
5462
#33
165.80.5
165.2165.7
Auto17.6
Teleop117.8
End30.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
36%Face the Boss oddsMissed44%Face the Boss oddsMissed