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Red333
123142.0
5424149.1
5927120.8
Blue283
6861144.8
3098188.7
4967166.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262433100200300500600700800333283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5424
#23
149.10.2
148.9149.1
Auto19.2
Teleop110.6
End21.8
blue by 39.6
188.70.4
190.3190.7
Auto20.6
Teleop139.9
End27.0
Second
123
#40
142.01.0
143.2142.1
Auto19.6
Teleop108.3
End17.3
blue by 24.9
166.91.5
165.2166.7
Auto27.0
Teleop112.4
End28.3
Third
5927
#20
120.80.9
119.9120.8
Auto15.9
Teleop87.0
End19.6
blue by 24.0
6861
#31
144.80.2
145.9145.8
Auto21.7
Teleop106.2
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed98%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed59%Face the Boss oddsEarned