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Red423
6100151.5
3604177.9
5152173.9
Blue313
5462165.8
2586145.7
3539179.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4023190100200500600700423313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#27
177.90.8
179.1178.3
Auto20.0
Teleop129.2
End26.2
blue by 1.3
179.20.2
178.9178.7
Auto24.0
Teleop130.0
End25.2
Second
5152
#14
173.91.4
172.5173.9
Auto20.2
Teleop131.6
End21.4
red by 8.1
5462
#33
165.80.1
165.7165.8
Auto17.6
Teleop117.8
End30.8
Third
6100
#26
151.50.3
151.8151.5
Auto14.3
Teleop117.5
End18.3
red by 5.8
2586
#32
145.70.8
148.0147.3
Auto16.2
Teleop111.5
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
34%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsEarned