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Red294
3538204.6
4003204.8
5205136.3
Blue388
85207.4
5150163.4
3534168.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3823320100200500600700800294388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.80.9
203.6204.5
Auto22.8
Teleop159.6
End22.1
blue by 2.6
85
#2
207.40.9
205.9206.8
Auto24.5
Teleop155.1
End27.9
Second
3538
#11
204.60.6
205.9205.3
Auto23.8
Teleop156.8
End26.0
red by 36.1
3534
#21
168.50.2
166.9167.1
Auto19.4
Teleop130.1
End19.2
Third
5205
#35
136.30.2
135.6135.8
Auto20.6
Teleop106.0
End11.5
blue by 27.1
5150
#18
163.40.6
164.0163.4
Auto19.4
Teleop116.6
End28.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed22%Face the Boss oddsMissed