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Red328
6861144.8
5193167.1
66185.8
Blue406
6573140.9
6548178.9
141185.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36936105001,0001,5002,0002,500328406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#22
185.80.2
185.7185.9
Auto22.7
Teleop145.1
End16.0
red by 0.5
141
#8
185.31.7
181.7183.4
Auto24.7
Teleop138.0
End24.4
Second
5193
#15
167.11.1
166.0167.1
Auto15.8
Teleop120.1
End32.8
blue by 11.8
6548
#13
178.91.4
181.0179.6
Auto20.7
Teleop126.2
End30.2
Third
6861
#31
144.81.0
145.8144.8
Auto21.7
Teleop106.2
End18.1
red by 3.9
6573
#28
140.90.2
140.8140.9
Auto18.5
Teleop105.8
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
36%Face the Boss oddsMissed30%Face the Boss oddsEarned