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Red297
4994131.7
4004162.0
6753167.4
Blue279
5843168.3
4680134.7
5674170.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327318200250300350400297279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6753
#16
167.41.4
164.8166.2
Auto23.8
Teleop122.6
End21.6
blue by 3.4
5674
#24
170.71.1
171.8170.7
Auto20.1
Teleop124.0
End27.2
Second
4004
#30
162.00.6
163.0162.3
Auto18.6
Teleop125.5
End14.9
blue by 6.2
5843
#39
168.32.7
172.5169.8
Auto24.0
Teleop128.1
End14.1
Third
4994
#36
131.71.0
132.7131.7
Auto19.2
Teleop101.0
End6.4
blue by 3.0
4680
#37
134.70.5
135.2134.7
Auto15.1
Teleop99.1
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed22%Face the Boss oddsMissed