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Red445
3538204.6
2771196.0
5205136.3
Blue242
245189.3
1322153.2
66185.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34337202006008001,000445242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#11
204.60.2
205.3205.1
Auto23.8
Teleop156.8
End26.0
red by 15.4
245
#19
189.30.4
190.1189.7
Auto19.5
Teleop138.6
End29.4
Second
196.00.0
195.3195.3
Auto24.1
Teleop140.7
End32.0
red by 10.2
66
#22
185.80.0
185.9185.9
Auto22.7
Teleop145.1
End16.0
Third
5205
#35
136.30.0
135.8135.8
Auto20.6
Teleop106.0
End11.5
blue by 17.0
1322
#10
153.20.4
152.6153.0
Auto18.0
Teleop110.9
End26.2