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Semifinal 1-12018 Michigan State Championship - Ford Division
Red346
3538204.6
2771196.0
5205136.3
Blue288
503182.2
2834195.6
6548178.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358389100200300500600700346288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#11
204.60.1
205.0→204.9
Auto23.8
Teleop156.8
End26.0
red by 9.0
2834
#4
195.60.1
196.0→195.9
Auto21.2
Teleop145.5
End25.5
Second
2771
#1
196.00.1
195.4→195.5
Auto24.1
Teleop140.7
End32.0
red by 13.8
503
#5
182.20.1
182.1→182.2
Auto22.3
Teleop126.0
End32.2
Third
5205
#35
136.30.1
135.8→135.9
Auto20.6
Teleop106.0
End11.5
blue by 42.6
6548
#13
178.90.2
179.4→179.2
Auto20.7
Teleop126.2
End30.2