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Red367
3538204.6
2771196.0
5205136.3
Blue287
245189.3
1322153.2
66185.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361356250300400450367287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#11
204.60.1
205.1205.0
Auto23.8
Teleop156.8
End26.0
red by 15.4
245
#19
189.30.4
189.7189.3
Auto19.5
Teleop138.6
End29.4
Second
196.00.1
195.3195.4
Auto24.1
Teleop140.7
End32.0
red by 10.2
66
#22
185.80.1
185.9185.8
Auto22.7
Teleop145.1
End16.0
Third
5205
#35
136.30.1
135.8135.8
Auto20.6
Teleop106.0
End11.5
blue by 17.0
1322
#10
153.20.3
153.0153.2
Auto18.0
Teleop110.9
End26.2