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Semifinal 1-22018 Michigan State Championship - Ford Division
Red415
3538204.6
2771196.0
5205136.3
Blue279
503182.2
2834195.6
6548178.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358386100200300500600700415279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#11
204.60.1
204.9→204.8
Auto23.8
Teleop156.8
End26.0
red by 9.0
2834
#4
195.60.3
195.9→195.6
Auto21.2
Teleop145.5
End25.5
Second
2771
#1
196.00.1
195.5→195.6
Auto24.1
Teleop140.7
End32.0
red by 13.8
503
#5
182.20.0
182.2→182.2
Auto22.3
Teleop126.0
End32.2
Third
5205
#35
136.30.1
135.9→136.0
Auto20.6
Teleop106.0
End11.5
blue by 42.6
6548
#13
178.90.3
179.2→178.9
Auto20.7
Teleop126.2
End30.2