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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Michigan State Championship - Ford Division
Red458
503182.2
2834195.6
6548178.9
Blue291
4004162.0
4967166.9
5843168.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4283110100200500600700458291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#4
195.60.1
196.2→196.1
Auto21.2
Teleop145.5
End25.5
red by 27.3
5843
#39
168.30.8
169.8→169.0
Auto24.0
Teleop128.1
End14.1
Second
503
#5
182.20.2
181.8→181.9
Auto22.3
Teleop126.0
End32.2
red by 15.3
4967
#6
166.90.1
166.7→166.8
Auto27.0
Teleop112.4
End28.3
Third
6548
#13
178.90.2
179.6→179.5
Auto20.7
Teleop126.2
End30.2
red by 16.9
4004
#30
162.00.1
162.3→162.2
Auto18.6
Teleop125.5
End14.9