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Red428
3534168.5
3539179.2
51155.6
Blue231
3098188.7
4003204.8
2586145.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3303880100200500600700800428231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.20.1
178.8178.9
Auto24.0
Teleop130.0
End25.2
blue by 25.6
204.80.1
204.9205.0
Auto22.8
Teleop159.6
End22.1
Second
3534
#21
168.50.3
167.6167.8
Auto19.4
Teleop130.1
End19.2
blue by 20.2
188.70.2
190.2190.0
Auto20.6
Teleop139.9
End27.0
Third
51
#17
155.60.4
154.2154.6
Auto18.8
Teleop109.4
End28.9
red by 9.9
2586
#32
145.70.1
146.9146.8
Auto16.2
Teleop111.5
End18.1