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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Michigan State Championship - Dow Division
Red403
862193.8
5675177.9
7211155.5
Blue367
3536176.8
6618172.7
3767162.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366364250300350400450403367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#12
193.80.0
193.9→193.9
Auto22.8
Teleop150.5
End18.4
red by 17.0
3536
#9
176.80.0
176.7→176.7
Auto20.5
Teleop127.4
End30.9
Second
5675
#4
177.90.0
177.9→177.9
Auto24.4
Teleop130.0
End24.2
red by 5.2
6618
#6
172.70.1
171.9→172.1
Auto17.7
Teleop130.8
End24.3
Third
7211
#36
155.50.4
156.7→156.3
Auto15.6
Teleop116.2
End20.9
blue by 7.2
3767
#13
162.70.2
161.7→161.9
Auto20.7
Teleop128.0
End14.3