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Red183
3641189.9
1025179.6
573158.4
Blue347
910158.3
3618163.1
314151.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3783070100200500600700183347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.90.0
190.8190.8
Auto21.7
Teleop146.6
End18.2
red by 26.9
163.10.2
162.7162.8
Auto21.2
Teleop124.6
End15.9
Second
179.60.3
179.1179.5
Auto23.6
Teleop129.4
End25.9
red by 21.3
910
#34
158.30.2
158.9158.7
Auto22.5
Teleop124.2
End11.2
Third
573
#32
158.40.6
161.9161.3
Auto20.0
Teleop119.6
End15.7
red by 6.7
314
#26
151.70.2
152.2152.0
Auto18.6
Teleop114.2
End19.1