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Red336
3641189.9
1025179.6
573158.4
Blue343
5603174.4
4855174.4
3546173.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38035602006008001,000336343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.90.0
191.0191.0
Auto21.7
Teleop146.6
End18.2
red by 15.6
5603
#15
174.40.1
174.1174.2
Auto21.0
Teleop126.8
End27.7
Second
179.60.4
178.0178.5
Auto23.6
Teleop129.4
End25.9
red by 5.3
4855
#10
174.40.5
172.8173.4
Auto18.4
Teleop130.6
End26.8
Third
573
#32
158.40.7
164.0163.3
Auto20.0
Teleop119.6
End15.7
blue by 14.9
3546
#17
173.30.2
173.8173.6
Auto22.7
Teleop129.2
End21.6