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Semifinal 2-32018 Michigan State Championship - Dow Division
Red331
3641189.9
2959176.8
573158.4
Blue291
910158.3
3618163.1
314151.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345345200250300400450331291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#7
189.90.2
190.6→190.4
Auto21.7
Teleop146.6
End18.2
red by 26.9
3618
#8
163.10.1
163.0→163.1
Auto21.2
Teleop124.6
End15.9
Second
2959
#19
176.80.2
177.4→177.2
Auto20.7
Teleop126.5
End27.6
red by 18.5
910
#34
158.30.3
158.6→158.3
Auto22.5
Teleop124.2
End11.2
Third
573
#32
158.40.7
160.5→159.8
Auto20.0
Teleop119.6
End15.7
red by 6.7
314
#26
151.70.2
151.9→151.7
Auto18.6
Teleop114.2
End19.1