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Red472
573158.4
1025179.6
862193.8
Blue287
2604104.4
5603174.4
7144130.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4562350100200300400500600700472287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#12
193.80.3
191.3191.6
Auto22.8
Teleop150.5
End18.4
red by 19.4
5603
#15
174.41.8
164.7166.5
Auto21.0
Teleop126.8
End27.7
Second
179.60.5
170.0170.6
Auto23.6
Teleop129.4
End25.9
red by 49.4
7144
#14
130.20.1
131.4131.5
Auto19.1
Teleop91.4
End21.8
Third
573
#32
158.41.0
174.7173.7
Auto20.0
Teleop119.6
End15.7
red by 54.0
2604
#40
104.41.2
110.0108.7
Auto17.7
Teleop75.4
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed